|
Anatomy
Since the advent of satellite imagery, we have
had a chance to see hurricanes as distinct,
swirling weather systems that blossom and
advance on coastal areas during the summer and
autumn months.
Moreover, the ability to see them coming,
literally from space, allows people to be far
more prepared than they were even 50 years ago.
However, the greatest advances in understanding
how hurricanes function have come from
reconnaissance aircraft that risk life and limb
to actually fly into the middle of these
monsters and drop sounding equipment through the
central “eye.”
All weather is, from a scientific point of view,
the interaction between energy and water,
causing heat to be gained or lost within the
closed system that is the Earth’s atmosphere,
taken as whole.
Hurricanes are the result of a great deal
of energy, in the form of heat, heating up
water.
They always form over water.
Water is very good at storing energy and
it feeds water vapour back up into the
atmosphere, which is an even better conductor of
energy – the system feeds upon itself to become
larger until it goes over land or cold water.
It may also cross the path of low
pressure going the other direction, disrupting
the eddy and disorganizing the storm.
The early-season hurricanes that menace
Florida
usually (but not always) travel west across the
Atlantic, from water heated up off the western
coast of Africa
and travelling north and west.
Atlantic hurricanes may also come from
super heated water in the relatively shallow
Gulf of Mexico coming north and
east, particularly later in the season.
Hurricanes are identifiable as being roughly
circular and always turning counter-clockwise in
the Northern Hemisphere.
Those in the
Indian ocean are called typhoons while those in
the southern hemisphere are called cyclones and
spin clockwise – they’re all the exact same
thing, though.
A defining characteristic of large hurricanes is
the eye.
In this zone of relative calm and very
low atmospheric pressures, you may even be able
to see right through to the ground as the skies
below open up into brilliant sunlight for as
long as a few hours.
The larger a hurricane becomes, the more
energetic it becomes, organizing into the more
distinctive doughnut-shape seen today on
satellite pictures.
The area of greatest danger to life and
property is where the eye makes “landfall.”
The eye forms because of convection currents
that build up within the storm.
Hot air moves up and cold air moves down.
When this process is taken to an extreme,
shearing winds are created that form bands in
the storm itself and a column in the middle,
where the winds are the strongest on the very
edges.
This “eye wall” is like a tube of the
most concentrated storm activity, including
tornadoes and thunderstorms.
Tropical storms are not nearly as organized and
really have only the potential to become a
serious threat.
Even if a good-sized tropical depression
or tropical storm hits a coastal area, it can
contain enough rain to be a problem on already
saturated ground, causing flooding.
Hurricanes cause damage to the landscape and
property with high winds, tornados, flooding and
storm surges.
These surges have been known to cost the
most lives and can be over 18 feet high in the
case of a storm rated category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson
scale.
Even a relatively small category 2 storm
can cause an 8 foot surge wave to come crashing
into beachfront property.
In the United States,
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) sets the names for storms
on a rotating schedule and in alphabetical
order.
The Atlantic
and Pacific storm names alternate between
starting with a boy’s or a girl’s name each
year.
Since 1979, when storms cause a great
loss of life or massive damage, their names are
retired for at least 10 years.
As the 2005 season demonstrated, when the
season goes beyond 26 letters, the Greek
alphabet is used.
From your vantage point on the ground, it is
always best to remain below until the
“all-clear” is given.
Venturing outside when the eye is passing
can be deadly.
Evacuating areas that are likely to be
inundated by a storm surge is essential to avoid
getting caught in what could be a
life-threatening flood.
The largest storms can deliver winds in excess
of 155 miles an hour.
This is enough to remove windows, doors
and small structures as well as completely
covering anything up to 15 feet high as far as a
quarter-mile inland.
Even much smaller storms, when they hit
directly, can destroy mobile homes and uproot
large trees.
A category 1 hurricane will have winds of
at least 74 miles per hour.
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Intensity Scale
Explained
One of the most cost-effective methods of saving
lives during the Florida hurricane season is the use of the
Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale.
It is known well enough in hurricane
prone regions that the intensity of an oncoming
storm can be quickly and easily understood by
the majority of people with a simple rating on a
1-5 scale.
Initially developed for use by the United
Nations, engineer Herbert Saffir, the idea was
quickly picked up for use by the National
Hurricane Centre by its then director Bob
Simpson.
By 1969, researchers at the
National Hurricane Center
had come up with the definition of the scale
that is still used today.
Generally, the scale describes the intensity of
a hurricane by any number of factors that seem
to directly correlate with the amount of damage
seen on the ground, not the damage itself, as is
the case with earthquakes.
The items measured are pressure at the
center of the storm as measured in millibars (mb)
of mercury, the winds as measured in knots and
the height of the storm surge.
The scale applies to hurricanes only, though the
National Oceanic and Aeronautic Administration
(NOAA) also classifies tropical storms and
tropical depressions according to the same scale
guidelines.
When a storm reaches Tropical Storm
status, with winds of 39-73mph, it is given a
name.
Hurricane names are taken from an alphabetical
list that’s generated each year, alternating
with boy’s and girl’s names.
Hurricanes that do particular damage or
cause a major loss of life are retired from the
list rotation for at least a decade.
NOAA and most international relief organizations
consider storms that are rated at category-3 or
higher to be “major,” though even smaller storms
can cause significant flood and wind damage,
especially in less developed nations that have
deforestation problems.
Similar scales are used in other
countries for hurricanes and typhoons in the
northern hemisphere as well as cyclones in the
southern hemisphere, since they’re all the same
thing, anyhow.
The damage from a category-3 storm is usually
characterized as being extensive.
Instead of the normal roughly 1000mb of
pressure, the center of such a storm will have
pressure between 945 and 964mb, with winds
sustained for at least 1 minute at 111-130 mph
(or 96-113 knots) as measured 30 feet above the
surface.
The surge from a category-3 hurricane may
be as high as 12 feet – high enough to reach
some second story apartments.
Such storms can remove all the foliage
from trees, completely destroy mobile homes and
do structural damage to smaller site-built
structures.
Mobile
or manufactured homes are especially vulnerable
to hurricane damage.
Because of this, the federal government
(which funds all flood insurance) has mandated
that all mobile homes must be able to withstand
100 mph winds without major structural damage
since the early 1990s.
However, anyone living in a mobile homes
built before then will want to seek immediate
shelter elsewhere if even a category-2 storm is
on the way.
Category-5 storms are so strong that a direct
hit from such a storm is almost guaranteed to
severely damage even the strongest structures
with winds in excess of 155 mph and expected
storm surges of more than 18 feet.
It is not uncommon to see entire houses
blown apart or toppled over in such a hurricane.
Of course, damage varies widely over the
entire area affected by the hurricane, with the
greatest damage occurring immediately before and
after the “eye-wall” of greatest intensity makes
landfall. Fortunately, because of the tremendous
amount of energy required to sustain a
category-5 storm, such storms usually decrease
in intensity by the time they make landfall.
Nevertheless, even a category-3 or category-4
storm can cause significant damage and loss of
life, even well into the interior of the state.
Just because you do not live in a coastal
county, you should not assume that a hurricane
cannot significantly affect you. Ask anyone in
land-locked
Polk County,
Florida, which was hit
by three hurricanes in 2004, and they will
assure you that living inland is no guarantee
against major hurricane damage.
Agricultural Hurricane Damage and its Impact
on the Florida Economy
Florida produces a majority of the citrus for culinary and juice production in
North America.
It is also home to the nation’s leading
supply of houseplants and semi-tropical nursery
stock as well as a major share of high value
edible horticulture such as tomatoes and sweet
corn.
Cattle and other grazing animals are also
very commonly found in Florida, accounting for
millions of dollars worth of livestock.
A hurricane can wipe out an entire crop,
just as it’s being harvested, uproot trees and
cause a worldwide increase in the price of
certain commodity crops.
Florida’s agricultural bounty is greater than
most countries and therefore, has far-reaching
implications.
When Hurricane Charley hit in 2004, the more
than 280 crops commercially grown in the state
that experienced some sort of damage represented
the second largest element of
Florida’s economy, right
behind tourism.
With agricultural damages alone in the
billions, the nearly 100,000 people employed by
the industry were temporarily out of work when
they needed it the most.
Of the 44,000 full-time farmers and
ranchers in the state, a few hundred were forced
out as a result of that storm alone.
Even the best crop insurance may not be enough
to get citrus farmers or ranchers back on their
feet again.
While those who grow herbaceous crops
such as tomato or tobacco farmers can bounce
back with the next season, those who ranch or
grow tree fruits are looking at several years
without a crop.
Even 3-year-old citrus trees (most are planted
as 1-year “whips” to save money) planted in a
hurricane-devastated grove will take as long as
a decade to reach full productivity.
While dwarfing rootstocks can decrease
that time to 6 or 7 years, such orchards will
have to be planted at a far higher density than
a standard grove, requiring a greater number of
more expensive plants than the crop insurance is
likely to cover.
Those in the ranching industry will have at
least an 18-month wait before they see any money
back.
The impact on
Florida’s economy
ripples out from those who own or work on farms
to the state as a whole in what eventually
becomes real human issues, related to economic
factors.
Rural communities that depend on the
spending power of those farm owners and farm
workers can be decimated, again, at precisely
the wrong time, as those incomes move out of the
small town to look for work in the big city.
Nearby cities feel the pressure of an influx of
workers who have job skills that are of little
use in an urban area.
Those who are not directly involved will feel
the pinch at the market.
The price of usually affordable fresh
fruits and vegetables (or orange juice) will
certainly increase.
Even if crops can be shipped in from
elsewhere, they will certainly have the expense
of “food miles” associated with them.
If the storm comes from the
Gulf of Mexico and the price of fuel
jumps with an interruption in refining capacity,
the price will jump that much higher.
Hurricane Andrew -- The Turning Point for Florida
Homeowners
On August 21, 1992, five days after it formed
off the coast of Africa,
Tropical Storm Andrew seemed to be losing steam.
Still churning far out into the Atlantic,
it made a surprise turn into very warm waters
that had very little wind aloft.
In just 48 hours it intensified into a
monster that packed sustained winds of over
165mph and in eye pressure of about 922mb when
it smacked into the South Florida coast.
While not the largest or strongest
hurricane ever seen in the Atlantic, it would
become the costliest natural disaster ($45
billion in 2005 dollars) ever in the
United States until
Hurricane Katrina in September of 2005 and
change the history of south
Florida
forever.
It is somewhat rare for a hurricane to make
landfall as a Category-5 storm.
These are defined as hurricanes with
sustained winds (for at least 1 minute at a
height of 30 feet above the surface) in excess
of 155 mph and pacing a storm surge of over 18
feet.
Andrew was the last of only three storms
to do so in the entire 20th century.
Because of the relatively high cost of
life, with 65 related casualties (most of them
in Florida), the name has been officially and
permanently retired.
Andrew made landfall at Homestead, Florida,
though a great deal of the monetary damage
resulted from the devastation of Miami and
greater Dade County.
Entire neighbourhoods were flattened.
It is estimated that 90% of the roofs in
Dade County sustained major damage.
Water had to be boiled for weeks
afterwards and the Keys went without any
station-generated electric power for months.
Looting ensued, and hundreds of National Guard
troops were called in to restore the peace,
though aid was still several days away.
Homestead Air Force Base was all but
destroyed in the action and was shut down as an
active duty base, all its personal sent to Italy instead.
As a result of the billions of dollars paid out
by private insurance companies, 11 insurance
companies went out of business, with another 20
having their funds so severely depleted they
were forced to leave the Florida property
insurance market completely. More than one
million homes were made uninsurable as a result
and were subsequently covered by the precursor
to today’s Citizens Insurance or demolished as a
total loss.
Thankfully, the containment reactor of the
Turkey Point Nuclear Reactor was the only part
of the plant not destroyed in Andrew’s direct
hit.
Unlike the rest of the state, it was built to
withstand 235mph winds, such as those that can
be generated in a particularly strong tornado.
The ultimate effect of this disaster was the
nearly complete restructuring of the insurance
industry in Florida and an exodus of new
construction in more northerly counties when
insurance was no longer available to the south.
The Florida
Hurricane Catastrophe Fund and the precursors to
Citizens were created as a result.
Other efforts to keep insurers in the
state included the practices of percentage
deductibles and allowing insurers to use
catastrophe models when calculating premiums and
overall risk.
While premiums across the state jumped
considerably after the 1992 hurricane season,
they skyrocketed again as a result of the 2004
and 2005 seasons that resulted in nearly $30
billion in new claims.
Not only are rates for homeowners,
hurricane, sinkhole and flood insurance in
Florida among the highest in the nation (by
far), but auto, home and life insurance premiums
are also higher as a result of companies that
want to make their money back anyway they can.
|